Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Vienna, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 27 October 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Vienna 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Cameron Norrie		Francisco Cerundolo

	1	2
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.70	1.45
	2.7	1.46	Watch
	2.68	1.45	Watch
	2.7	1.48
	2.77	1.47	Watch
	2.7	1.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↓ (3)	1.46 ↑ (1.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cameron Norrie
35%

Francisco Cerundolo
65%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

31.8%

68.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29%

71%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cameron Norrie has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Francisco Cerundolo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cameron Norrie than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cameron Norrie that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francisco Cerundolo than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Francisco Cerundolo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	0%	77.8%

Cameron Norrie - Francisco Cerundolo Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Norrie will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Cerundolo will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cerundolo: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Norrie is ranked ATP: 41., and Cerundolo is ranked ATP: 19..

Recent results have been tough for Norrie (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Performances by Cerundolo have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Cerundolo may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Cerundolo is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Norrie has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:7 (averaging 0.5:1.8 goals per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Francisco Cerundolo - the odds 1.4 are the expected chance of winning is 68.18%, but this team recently wins 42% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cameron Norrie
ATP Lyon
20.10.26	Benjamin Bonzi - Cameron Norrie	2:1 ✺
ATP Shanghai
08.10.26	Cameron Norrie - Dalibor Svrcina	1:2 ✺
07.10.26	Cameron Norrie - Denis Shapovalov	Canceled ✺
ATP Beijing
01.10.26	Alexander Zverev - Cameron Norrie	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
30.08.26	Luca Van Assche - Cameron Norrie	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LL?LL
- Francisco Cerundolo
ATP Brussels
24.10.26	Francisco Cerundolo - Tallon Griekspoor	1:2 ✺
23.10.26	Clement Chidekh - Francisco Cerundolo	0:2 ✺
21.10.26	Martin Damm - Francisco Cerundolo	0:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
11.10.26	Francisco Cerundolo - Jakub Mensik	1:2 ✺
09.10.26	Francisco Cerundolo - Roman Safiullin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Exhibition UTS Championship Men
17.07.26	Francisco Cerundolo - Cameron Norrie	3:0
ATP Lyon
26.05.23	Francisco Cerundolo - Cameron Norrie	2:0
ATP Monte Carlo
10.04.23	Cameron Norrie - Francisco Cerundolo	0:2
ATP Lyon
17.05.22	Cameron Norrie - Francisco Cerundolo	2:0

Cameron Norrie - Francisco Cerundolo