Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: SEGOVIA (SPAIN), HARD - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 24 July 2023, Monday


	Ryan Peniston		Mattia Bellucci

	1	2
			Watch
	1.75	1.95
	1.75	2.05
	1.83	2.01
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.73	2.02	Watch
	1.74	1.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↑ (1.39)	2 ↓ (2.76)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ryan Peniston
53.3%

Mattia Bellucci
46.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.5%

33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.8%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ryan Peniston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ryan Peniston's form might have worsened.

Mattia Bellucci has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mattia Bellucci's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ryan Peniston than the current prediction. (+14.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ryan Peniston, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mattia Bellucci than the current prediction. (-14.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mattia Bellucci, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Ryan Peniston - Mattia Bellucci Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Peniston is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Bellucci is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Bellucci could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Peniston won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ryan Peniston
ATP Challenger
18.07.23	Juan Pablo Ficovich - Ryan Peniston	2:1 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
04.07.23	Ryan Peniston - Andy Murray	0:3 ✺
ATP Eastbourne
26.06.23	Ryan Peniston - Marc-Andrea Huesler	0:2 ✺
ATP London
21.06.23	Ryan Peniston - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	0:2 ✺
19.06.23	Ugo Humbert - Ryan Peniston	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LLLLW
- Mattia Bellucci
ATP Challenger
19.07.23	Mattia Bellucci - Dan Added	0:2 ✺
17.07.23	Mattia Bellucci - Louis Wessels	2:0 ✺
03.07.23	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Mattia Bellucci	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
29.06.23	Dominic Stephan Stricker - Mattia Bellucci	3:1 ✺
28.06.23	Raphael Collignon - Mattia Bellucci	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
13.06.23	Ryan Peniston - Mattia Bellucci	2:0

Ryan Peniston - Mattia Bellucci: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide