Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Manama, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 30 January 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Manama 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Thiago Augustin Tirante		Mattia Bellucci

	1	2
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.01	1.72	Watch
	2.1	1.78
	2.23	1.59	Watch
	2	1.73	Watch
	1.94	1.75	Watch
	2	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.07)	1.71 ↑ (1.66)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Thiago Augustin Tirante
45.5%

Mattia Bellucci
54.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.6%

55.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.1%

49.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Thiago Augustin Tirante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Mattia Bellucci has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thiago Augustin Tirante than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mattia Bellucci than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	0%	77.8%

Thiago Augustin Tirante - Mattia Bellucci Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Mattia Bellucci will win (14 of 17 users predict this - 82.35%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.23% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Mattia Bellucci will win (15 of 16 users predict this - 93.75%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Tirante is ranked ATP: 103. Bellucci is ranked ATP: 76.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Bellucci may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tirante won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Thiago Augustin Tirante
ATP Challenger
29.01.26	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Joel Schwaerzler	2:1 ✺
27.01.26	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Geoffrey Blancaneaux	2:0 ✺
ATP Australian Open
20.01.26	Tommy Paul - Thiago Augustin Tirante	3:0 ✺
18.01.26	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Aleksandar Vukic	3:0 ✺
ATP Adelaide
11.01.26	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Andrea Vavassori	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWLWL
- Mattia Bellucci
ATP Challenger
29.01.26	Edas Butvilas - Mattia Bellucci	0:2 ✺
28.01.26	Yanki Erel - Mattia Bellucci	0:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
19.01.26	Mattia Bellucci - Casper Ruud	0:3 ✺
ATP Auckland
10.01.26	Mattia Bellucci - Hamad Medjedovic	0:2 ✺
09.01.26	Mattia Bellucci - Geoffrey Blancaneaux	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
03.07.23	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Mattia Bellucci	2:0

Thiago Augustin Tirante - Mattia Bellucci: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide