Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: BRATISLAVA 2 (SLOVAKIA), HARD (INDOOR) - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 7 November 2022, Monday


	Ryan Peniston		Tomas Machac

	1	2
	3	1.36
	2.95	1.35
	3.1	1.35
	3.05	1.35
	3.13	1.36
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	3.14	1.32	Watch
	3.3	1.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.05 ↑ (2.51)	1.35 ↓ (1.49)

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ryan Peniston
30.6%

Tomas Machac
69.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.3%

62.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.4%

65.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ryan Peniston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ryan Peniston's form might have worsened.

Tomas Machac has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tomas Machac's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ryan Peniston than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tomas Machac than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12%	0%	88%

Ryan Peniston - Tomas Machac Predictions

Users Predictions: Tomas Machac will win (22 of 25 users predict this - 88%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.26% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Peniston is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Machac is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Peniston could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Machac will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ryan Peniston
ATP Challenger
10.10.22	Christopher OConnell - Ryan Peniston	2:1 ✺
04.10.22	Maximilian Neuchrist - Ryan Peniston	2:0 ✺
03.10.22	Naoki Nakagawa - Ryan Peniston	1:2 ✺
ATP Seoul
26.09.22	Nicolas Jarry - Ryan Peniston	2:0 ✺
24.09.22	Ryan Peniston - Tung-Lin Wu	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLWLL
- Tomas Machac
ATP Challenger
01.11.22	Luca Nardi - Tomas Machac	2:0 ✺
28.10.22	Tomas Machac - Andrea Vavassori	1:2 ✺
27.10.22	Tomas Machac - Antoine Escoffier	2:0 ✺
25.10.22	Tomas Machac - Andrew Paulson	2:0 ✺
18.10.22	Tomas Machac - Viktor Durasovic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLWWL

Ryan Peniston - Tomas Machac: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide