Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Shanghai (China), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 3 September 2024, Tuesday

Referee: Samenkova V. (Kaz)


	Ryan Peniston		Yi Zhou

	1	2
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.45	2.55
	1.42	2.65	Watch
	1.43	2.72	Watch
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.43	2.73	Watch
	1.42	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.62)	2.69 ↑ (2.2)

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ryan Peniston
65.4%

Yi Zhou
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.6%

42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.4%

42.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ryan Peniston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ryan Peniston's performance.

Yi Zhou has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Yi Zhou might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ryan Peniston than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ryan Peniston that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yi Zhou than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Yi Zhou could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	0%	57.1%

Ryan Peniston - Yi Zhou Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Peniston will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Zhou will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Peniston is ranked ATP: 406. Zhou is ranked ATP: 525.

Two players are playing changeable.

Peniston could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Peniston will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ryan Peniston
ATP Challenger
27.08.24	Ryan Peniston - Mark Lajal	0:2 ✺
27.08.24	Kris van Wyk - Ryan Peniston	0:2 ✺
20.08.24	Ryan Peniston - Woobin Shin	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
09.08.24	Ryan Peniston - Masamichi Imamura	0:2 ✺
08.08.24	Ryan Peniston - Naoki Tajima	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LWLLW
- Yi Zhou
ATP Challenger
26.08.24	Yi Zhou - Tung-Lin Wu	0:2 ✺
21.08.24	Yuta Shimizu - Yi Zhou	2:0 ✺
19.08.24	Alafia Ayeni - Yi Zhou	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
21.07.24	Fajing Sun - Yi Zhou	1:2 ✺
20.07.24	Aliaksandr Liaonenka - Yi Zhou	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLWWW

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