Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Francavilla, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 8 May 2026, Friday


	Ryan Seggerman		Jay Clarke

	1	2
			Watch
	2.65	1.43	Watch
	2.93	1.47
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.63	1.44
	2.69	1.41	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↑ (2.21)	1.43 ↓ (1.59)

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ryan Seggerman
34.4%

Jay Clarke
65.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

58.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

62.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ryan Seggerman has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ryan Seggerman's form might have worsened.

Jay Clarke has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jay Clarke's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ryan Seggerman than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jay Clarke than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Ryan Seggerman - Jay Clarke Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Clarke will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Seggerman is ranked ATP: 1046. Clarke is ranked ATP: 207.

Seggerman is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Clarke has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Clarke may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Clarke could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ryan Seggerman
ATP Challenger
07.05.26	Juan Carlos Prado Angelo - Ryan Seggerman	1:2 ✺
05.05.26	Ryan Seggerman - Yannick Theodor Alexandrescou	2:1 ✺
04.05.26	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Ryan Seggerman	0:2 ✺
03.05.26	Ryan Seggerman - Matteo Martineau	2:0 ✺
28.04.26	Rei Sakamoto - Ryan Seggerman	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.2 WWWWL
- Jay Clarke
ATP Challenger
07.05.26	Jay Clarke - Nishesh Basavareddy	2:0 ✺
04.05.26	Jay Clarke - Federico Arnaboldi	2:0 ✺
29.04.26	Jay Clarke - Raul Brancaccio	0:2 ✺
27.04.26	Max Schoenhaus - Jay Clarke	1:2 ✺
06.04.26	Jay Clarke - Matias Soto	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WWLWL

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