Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Phan Thiet 4 - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 14 September 2026, Monday


	Taiyo Yamanaka		Ryuki Matsuda

	1	2
	2.30	1.53
	2.33	1.53
	2.36	1.58
	2.3	1.55	Watch
	2.3	1.54
	2.34	1.53	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↑ (2.24)	1.54 ↓ (1.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Taiyo Yamanaka
39.9%

Ryuki Matsuda
60.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

59%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

56.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Taiyo Yamanaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Ryuki Matsuda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Taiyo Yamanaka than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ryuki Matsuda than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Taiyo Yamanaka - Ryuki Matsuda Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Yamanaka is ranked ATP: 830. Matsuda is ranked ATP: 764.

Yamanaka is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Matsuda has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Yamanaka may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Matsuda is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Yamanaka won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Ryuki Matsuda - the odds 1.56 are the expected chance of winning is 58.97%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Taiyo Yamanaka
ATP Challenger
13.09.26	Egor Agafonov - Taiyo Yamanaka	0:2 ✺
06.09.26	Timofei Derepasko - Taiyo Yamanaka	2:0 ✺
05.09.26	Nikita Ianin - Taiyo Yamanaka	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
12.08.26	Taiyo Yamanaka - Shinji Hazawa	Yamanaka T. Retired ✺
11.08.26	Weiyi Kong - Taiyo Yamanaka	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLW?W
- Ryuki Matsuda
ATP Challenger
13.09.26	Minh Phat Nguyen - Ryuki Matsuda	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
08.09.26	Ryuki Matsuda - Yu Tanaka	0:2 ✺
05.09.26	Ryuki Matsuda - Naoki Nakagawa	0:2 ✺
04.09.26	Yanki Erel - Ryuki Matsuda	0:2 ✺
03.09.26	Shunsuke Mitsui - Ryuki Matsuda	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.7 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
05.06.24	Ryuki Matsuda - Taiyo Yamanaka	2:0
02.03.23	Taiyo Yamanaka - Ryuki Matsuda	0:2
16.02.23	Ryuki Matsuda - Taiyo Yamanaka	0:2

Taiyo Yamanaka - Ryuki Matsuda: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide