Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: SZEKESFEHERVAR (HUNGARY), CLAY (INDOOR) - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 14 March 2023, Tuesday


	Salvatore Caruso		Alexey Vatutin

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.57	2.25
	1.6	2.3
	1.6	2.36
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.56	2.31	Watch
	1.56	2.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.68)	2.28 ↑ (2.09)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Salvatore Caruso
59.2%

Alexey Vatutin
40.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.5%

44.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.1%

42.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Salvatore Caruso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Alexey Vatutin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Salvatore Caruso than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexey Vatutin than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Salvatore Caruso - Alexey Vatutin Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Caruso will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Vatutin will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Caruso: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Caruso could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Caruso will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Salvatore Caruso
ATP Challenger
09.03.23	Michael Geerts - Salvatore Caruso	2:0 ✺
07.03.23	Salvatore Caruso - Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo	2:1 ✺
06.03.23	Salvatore Caruso - Edoardo Lavagno	Lavagno E. retired ✺
18.02.23	Abedallah Shelbayh - Salvatore Caruso	2:0 ✺
17.02.23	Lorenzo Giustino - Salvatore Caruso	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LW?LW
- Alexey Vatutin
ATP Challenger
14.03.23	Evan Furness - Alexey Vatutin	Canceled ✺
26.02.23	Mathias Bourgue - Alexey Vatutin	2:0 ✺
17.02.23	Alexey Vatutin - Titouan Droguet	1:2 ✺
15.02.23	Geoffrey Blancaneaux - Alexey Vatutin	0:2 ✺
14.02.23	Clement Chidekh - Alexey Vatutin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 ?LLWW

Salvatore Caruso - Alexey Vatutin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide