Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Monastir 30, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 30 July 2025, Wednesday


	Samir Hamza Reguig		Pablo Trochu

	1	2
	2.15	1.6
	2.19	1.63
	2.19	1.61	Watch
	2.25	1.57
	1.69	2.09	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↑ (1.69)	1.7 ↓ (2.09)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Samir Hamza Reguig
44.8%

Pablo Trochu
55.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.3%

44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9%

47.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Samir Hamza Reguig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Samir Hamza Reguig's form might have worsened.

Pablo Trochu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pablo Trochu's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Samir Hamza Reguig than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Samir Hamza Reguig, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pablo Trochu than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pablo Trochu, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Hamza Reguig is ranked ATP: 711. Trochu is ranked ATP: 1125.

Hamza Reguig has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Trochu's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Hamza Reguig may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Samir Hamza Reguig
ITF Tournaments
24.07.25	James Hopper - Samir Hamza Reguig	2:0 ✺
23.07.25	Allan Gatoto - Samir Hamza Reguig	0:2 ✺
17.07.25	Loan Lestir - Samir Hamza Reguig	Hamza Reguig S. retired ✺
16.07.25	Nazim Makhlouf - Samir Hamza Reguig	Canceled ✺
08.07.25	Maxence Rivet - Samir Hamza Reguig	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LW??L
- Pablo Trochu
ITF Tournaments
17.07.25	Luc Koenig - Pablo Trochu	2:0 ✺
16.07.25	James Beaven - Pablo Trochu	0:2 ✺
10.07.25	Pablo Trochu - Ergi Kirkin	0:2 ✺
08.07.25	Pablo Trochu - Lawrence Bataljin	2:0 ✺
25.06.25	Alexander Weis - Pablo Trochu	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWLWL

Samir Hamza Reguig - Pablo Trochu: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide