Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Fort Worth, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 20 October 2026, Tuesday


	Sander Jong		Lui Maxted

	1	2
			Watch
	1.95	1.75
	2.05	1.74	Watch
	1.98	1.74	Watch
	2.03	1.77
	1.99	1.71	Watch
	1.95	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.72)	1.74 ↓ (1.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sander Jong
46.7%

Lui Maxted
53.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

53.6%

46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

50.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sander Jong has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sander Jong's form might have worsened.

Lui Maxted has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lui Maxted's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sander Jong than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lui Maxted than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Sander Jong - Lui Maxted Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Jong will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Maxted will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Jong (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Jong is ranked ATP: 451., and Maxted is ranked ATP: 380..

Jong is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Maxted has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Maxted could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sander Jong
ATP Challenger
19.10.26	Kenta Miyoshi - Sander Jong	1:2 ✺
18.10.26	Keegan Rice - Sander Jong	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
03.10.26	Alejandro Moro Canas - Sander Jong	2:1 ✺
02.10.26	Lorenzo Carboni - Sander Jong	0:2 ✺
01.10.26	Michiel De Krom - Sander Jong	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWLWW
- Lui Maxted
ATP Challenger
20.10.26	Alastair Gray - Lui Maxted	Canceled ✺
ITF Tournaments
17.10.26	Lui Maxted - Cosme Rolland de Ravel	1:2 ✺
16.10.26	Lui Maxted - Andrew Fenty	2:1 ✺
15.10.26	Lui Maxted - Roger Pascual Ferra	2:0 ✺
14.10.26	Lui Maxted - Aidan Kim	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 ?LWWW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sander Jong
ATP Challenger
22.10.26	Jeffrey John Wolf - Sander Jong	✺

Sander Jong - Lui Maxted: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide