Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Trieste, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 10 July 2025, Thursday


	Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna		Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera

	1	2
	3.5	1.29	Watch
	3.5	1.26	Watch
	3.05	1.32	Watch
	3.94	1.26
			Watch
	3.5	1.29	Watch
	3.54	1.27	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.51 ↑ (3.17)	1.28 ↓ (1.3)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna
26.8%

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera
73.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.1%

70.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.4%

72.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Rodriguez Taverna will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Barrios Vera will win (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rodriguez Taverna: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Rodriguez Taverna is ranked ATP: 191. Barrios Vera is ranked ATP: 108.

Rodriguez Taverna has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Barrios Vera has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Rodriguez Taverna may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Barrios Vera is the team to beat.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna
ATP Challenger
09.07.25	Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna - Daniel Michalski	2:0 ✺
30.06.25	Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg - Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna	2:1 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
23.06.25	Colton Smith - Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
17.06.25	Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna - Albert Ramos-Vinolas	1:2 ✺
13.06.25	Lautaro Midon - Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WLLLL
- Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera
ATP Challenger
08.07.25	Arthur Gea - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	1:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
26.06.25	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - James McCabe	1:3 ✺
25.06.25	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Henrique Rocha	2:0 ✺
23.06.25	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - James Story	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
19.06.25	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Marin Cilic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLWWL

Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide