Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Nottingham, grass - Quarter-finals

Date: 19 June 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Nottingham 🌤️ ... 🟢 Grass


	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera		Marin Cilic

	1	2
	2.63	1.44	Watch
	2.65	1.42	Watch
			Watch
	2.75	1.49
			Watch
	3	1.36	Watch
	2.73	1.42	Watch
	2.7	1.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↑ (2.7)	1.42 ↑ (1.41)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera
34.2%

Marin Cilic
65.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34.3%

65.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.2%

65.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Marin Cilic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

The ML Model estimate for Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera aligns with the current prediction.

The ML Model estimate for Marin Cilic aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	0%	77.8%

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Marin Cilic Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Barrios Vera will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Cilic will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cilic: 50.6% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Barrios Vera (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Cilic (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Barrios Vera is ranked ATP: 112. Cilic is ranked ATP: 101.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Cilic may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Cilic is a strong favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera
ATP Challenger
18.06.25	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Tristan Schoolkate	2:0 ✺
16.06.25	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - James Kent Trotter	2:0 ✺
12.06.25	Henrique Rocha - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	2:0 ✺
10.06.25	Alexey Vatutin - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	0:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
22.05.25	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Henrique Rocha	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWLWL
- Marin Cilic
ATP Challenger
18.06.25	Lloyd Harris - Marin Cilic	Harris L. retired ✺
16.06.25	Hugo Grenier - Marin Cilic	0:2 ✺
11.06.25	Marin Cilic - Zachary Svajda	0:2 ✺
10.06.25	Marin Cilic - Paul Jubb	2:0 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
27.05.25	Marin Cilic - Flavio Cobolli	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 ?WLWL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera
ATP Challenger
29.10.26	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo	✺

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Marin Cilic