Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Trieste, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 8 July 2025, Tuesday


	Arthur Gea		Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera

	1	2
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.55	1.45	Watch
	2.55	1.46	Watch
	2.76	1.46
			Watch
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.59	1.46	Watch
	2.46	1.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↑ (2.46)	1.46 ↓ (1.49)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arthur Gea
36%

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera
64%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

62.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

63.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arthur Gea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arthur Gea than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Arthur Gea - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Gea will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Barrios Vera will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Barrios Vera (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Gea is ranked ATP: 290. Barrios Vera is ranked ATP: 108.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Barrios Vera may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Barrios Vera will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Arthur Gea - the odds 2.46 are the expected chance of winning is 37.72%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arthur Gea
ATP Challenger
02.07.25	Arthur Gea - Harold Mayot	1:2 ✺
30.06.25	Arthur Gea - Gregoire Barrere	2:1 ✺
26.06.25	Rafael Jodar - Arthur Gea	2:1 ✺
25.06.25	Arthur Gea - Oriol Roca Batalla	2:1 ✺
23.06.25	Diego Dedura-Palomero - Arthur Gea	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LWLWW
- Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera
ATP Wimbledon
26.06.25	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - James McCabe	1:3 ✺
25.06.25	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Henrique Rocha	2:0 ✺
23.06.25	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - James Story	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
19.06.25	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Marin Cilic	0:2 ✺
18.06.25	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Tristan Schoolkate	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LWWLW

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