Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Abu Dhabi, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 4 February 2026, Wednesday


	Sara Bejlek		Jelena Ostapenko

	1	2
	2	1.8	Watch
	1.86	1.91	Watch
	2	1.9
	1.69	2.16	Watch
	1.95	1.85
	1.94	1.86	Watch
	1.96	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (2.3)	1.89 ↑ (1.64)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sara Bejlek
49.7%

Jelena Ostapenko
50.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.6%

58.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

57%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sara Bejlek has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sara Bejlek's performance.

Jelena Ostapenko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jelena Ostapenko might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sara Bejlek than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sara Bejlek that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jelena Ostapenko than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jelena Ostapenko could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
29.2%	0%	70.8%

Sara Bejlek - Jelena Ostapenko Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Bejlek will win (votes: 7 - 29.2%). Ostapenko will win (votes: 17 - 70.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ostapenko: 52.6% – 89%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 21.5 Games - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 Sets - Ostapenko (1.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 Games - Ostapenko (1.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Jelena Ostapenko will win (15 of 18 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 20 Selected Experts predict this event. Bejlek (votes: 3 - 15%). Ostapenko (votes: 17 - 85%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Bejlek is ranked WTA: 101. Ostapenko is ranked WTA: 24.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Ostapenko may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Jelena Ostapenko - the odds 1.64 are the expected chance of winning is 58.4%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sara Bejlek
WTA Abu Dhabi
02.02.26	Ashlyn Krueger - Sara Bejlek	0:2 ✺
01.02.26	Chloe Paquet - Sara Bejlek	0:2 ✺
31.01.26	Ekaterina Ovcharenko - Sara Bejlek	0:2 ✺
WTA Australian Open
19.01.26	Ashlyn Krueger - Sara Bejlek	2:0 ✺
WTA Hobart
09.01.26	Gabriella Da Silva Fick - Sara Bejlek	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWWL?
- Jelena Ostapenko
WTA Abu Dhabi
02.02.26	Oksana Selekhmeteva - Jelena Ostapenko	1:2 ✺
WTA Australian Open
21.01.26	Xin Yu Wang - Jelena Ostapenko	2:1 ✺
20.01.26	Rebecca Sramkova - Jelena Ostapenko	0:2 ✺
WTA Adelaide
12.01.26	Jelena Ostapenko - Tereza Valentova	Ostapenko J. retired ✺
WTA Brisbane
06.01.26	Sorana Cirstea - Jelena Ostapenko	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLW?L

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