Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Australian Open, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 21 January 2026, Wednesday

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN
Australia	Stan Sport
Belgium	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	HBO Max
Brazil	ESPN
Bulgaria	HBO Max
Canada	RDS App
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	HBO Max
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Denmark	HBO Max
Finland	HBO Max
France	HBO Max
Hungary	HBO Max
Mexico	ESPN
Moldova	HBO Max
Montenegro	HBO Max
Netherlands	HBO Max
North-macedonia	HBO Max
Norway	HBO Max
Peru	ESPN
Poland	HBO Max
Romania	HBO Max
Serbia	HBO Max
Slovenia	HBO Max
Spain	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max
United-kingdom	Discovery+
Usa	ESPN USA
Venezuela	ESPN


	Xin Yu Wang		Jelena Ostapenko

	1	2
	1.62	2.3	Watch
	1.67	2.15
	1.64	2.28	Watch
	1.63	2.28	Watch
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.63	2.32	Watch
	1.66	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.97)	2.25 ↑ (1.82)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Xin Yu Wang
57.7%

Jelena Ostapenko
42.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48%

52%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Xin Yu Wang has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Xin Yu Wang's performance.

Jelena Ostapenko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jelena Ostapenko might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
53.8%	0%	46.2%

Xin Yu Wang - Jelena Ostapenko Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Wang will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). Ostapenko will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wang: 26.7% – 80.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Wang (votes: 2 - 40%). Ostapenko (votes: 3 - 60%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 21.5 Games - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 21 Games - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 Games - Wang (1.75) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Wang (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Ostapenko (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Wang is ranked WTA: 46. Ostapenko is ranked WTA: 24.

Wang has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Ostapenko may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Wang won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Xin Yu Wang
WTA Australian Open
19.01.26	Xin Yu Wang - Anhelina Kalinina	2:0 ✺
WTA Hobart
14.01.26	Xin Yu Wang - Magda Linette	0:2 ✺
13.01.26	Xin Yu Wang - Talia Gibson	2:0 ✺
WTA Auckland
10.01.26	Elina Svitolina - Xin Yu Wang	2:0 ✺
09.01.26	Alexandra Eala - Xin Yu Wang	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLWLW
- Jelena Ostapenko
WTA Australian Open
20.01.26	Rebecca Sramkova - Jelena Ostapenko	0:2 ✺
WTA Adelaide
12.01.26	Jelena Ostapenko - Tereza Valentova	Ostapenko J. retired ✺
WTA Brisbane
06.01.26	Sorana Cirstea - Jelena Ostapenko	2:0 ✺
WTA Wuhan
07.10.25	Sorana Cirstea - Jelena Ostapenko	Ostapenko J. retired ✺
WTA Beijing
26.09.25	Priscilla Hon - Jelena Ostapenko	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 W?L?L

Latest Head to Head

WTA Indian Wells
07.03.25	Jelena Ostapenko - Xin Yu Wang	0:2
WTA St Petersburg
08.02.22	Jelena Ostapenko - Xin Yu Wang	2:0

Xin Yu Wang - Jelena Ostapenko: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide