Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Cincinnati, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 21 August 2026, Friday


	Sara Bejlek		Madison Keys

	1	2
	2.63	1.50	Watch
	2.65	1.48
	2.63	1.49
	2.82	1.51
	2.77	1.47	Watch
	2.75	1.49
	2.63	1.50	Watch
	2.70	1.50
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↓ (3.38)	1.49 ↑ (1.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sara Bejlek
35.6%

Madison Keys
64.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.9%

72.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.4%

71.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sara Bejlek has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sara Bejlek's performance.

Madison Keys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Madison Keys might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sara Bejlek than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sara Bejlek that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Madison Keys than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Madison Keys could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	0%	37.5%

Sara Bejlek - Madison Keys Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Bejlek will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Keys will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bejlek: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Bejlek is ranked WTA: 35. Keys is ranked WTA: 24.

At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.

Bejlek may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Keys will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Keys will win today's game, with odds of 1.45.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sara Bejlek
WTA Cincinnati
19.08.26	Aryna Sabalenka - Sara Bejlek	0:2 ✺
18.08.26	Sara Bejlek - Ekaterina Alexandrova	2:1 ✺
16.08.26	Barbora Krejcikova - Sara Bejlek	0:2 ✺
14.08.26	Sara Bejlek - Karolina Pliskova	2:0 ✺
WTA Toronto
04.08.26	Sara Bejlek - Iga Swiatek	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.7 WWWWL
- Madison Keys
WTA Cincinnati
19.08.26	Madison Keys - Xiyu Wang	2:0 ✺
18.08.26	Katerina Siniakova - Madison Keys	0:2 ✺
16.08.26	Daria Snigur - Madison Keys	1:2 ✺
WTA Toronto
06.08.26	Marta Kostyuk - Madison Keys	2:0 ✺
04.08.26	Antonia Ruzic - Madison Keys	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWWLW

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