Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Makinohara, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 28 October 2025, Tuesday


	Sara Saito		Misaki Matsuda

	1	2
	1.4	2.72
	1.51	2.37	Watch
	1.36	2.93	Watch
	1.36	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.83)	2.76 ↑ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sara Saito
66.2%

Misaki Matsuda
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.5%

48.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sara Saito has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sara Saito's performance.

Misaki Matsuda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Misaki Matsuda might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sara Saito than the current prediction. (-14.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sara Saito that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Misaki Matsuda than the current prediction. (+14.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Misaki Matsuda could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sara Saito - Misaki Matsuda Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Saito is ranked WTA: 276. Matsuda is ranked WTA: 581.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Saito may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Saito will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Misaki Matsuda - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sara Saito
WTA Osaka
12.10.25	Sara Saito - Greetje Minnen	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
26.09.25	Nao Hibino - Sara Saito	2:0 ✺
26.09.25	Sara Saito - Yiming Dang	2:0 ✺
24.09.25	Sara Saito - Natsumi Kawaguchi	2:0 ✺
23.09.25	Sara Saito - Su Jeong Jang	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLWWW
- Misaki Matsuda
ITF Tournaments
25.10.25	Ekaterina Reyngold - Misaki Matsuda	2:0 ✺
23.10.25	Rina Saigo - Misaki Matsuda	0:2 ✺
23.10.25	Kristiana Sidorova - Misaki Matsuda	0:2 ✺
21.10.25	Misaki Matsuda - Xinxin Yao	2:1 ✺
24.09.25	Misaki Matsuda - Yeon Woo Ku	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LWWWL

Sara Saito - Misaki Matsuda: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide