Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Brest, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 23 October 2025, Thursday


	Francesco Maestrelli		Hugo Gaston

	1	2
	3.4	1.3	Watch
			Watch
	3.35	1.28	Watch
	3.77	1.28
	2.83	1.37	Watch
	3.49	1.28	Watch
	2.75	1.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.27 ↑ (2.87)	1.32 ↓ (1.36)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francesco Maestrelli
28.8%

Hugo Gaston
71.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.2%

67.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29%

71%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francesco Maestrelli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Hugo Gaston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francesco Maestrelli than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hugo Gaston than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Francesco Maestrelli - Hugo Gaston Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Maestrelli will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Gaston will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 10.5 Games, 1st Set - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Francesco Maestrelli will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Maestrelli is ranked ATP: 153. Gaston is ranked ATP: 113.

Maestrelli is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Gaston is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Gaston may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Gaston is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Gaston will win today's game, with odds of 1.4.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Maestrelli won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francesco Maestrelli
ATP Challenger
22.10.25	Francesco Maestrelli - Harry Wendelken	2:1 ✺
14.10.25	Norbert Gombos - Francesco Maestrelli	2:1 ✺
14.10.25	Daniel Rincon - Francesco Maestrelli	Canceled ✺
29.09.25	Facundo Bagnis - Francesco Maestrelli	2:1 ✺
25.09.25	Gonzalo Bueno - Francesco Maestrelli	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WL?LL
- Hugo Gaston
ATP Challenger
21.10.25	Calvin Hemery - Hugo Gaston	0:2 ✺
12.10.25	Hugo Gaston - Otto Virtanen	1:2 ✺
11.10.25	Matej Dodig - Hugo Gaston	1:2 ✺
10.10.25	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Hugo Gaston	1:2 ✺
09.10.25	Borna Gojo - Hugo Gaston	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Wimbledon
26.06.23	Francesco Maestrelli - Hugo Gaston	0:2

Francesco Maestrelli - Hugo Gaston: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide