Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Tamworth 2, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 28 October 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Tamworth 2 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Scott Jones		Chase Ferguson

	1	2
			Watch
	1.91	1.75
	1.79	1.92
	1.84	1.84	Watch
	1.97	1.78
	1.92	1.73	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.83)	1.8 ↓ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Scott Jones
48.9%

Chase Ferguson
51.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

58%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Scott Jones has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Chase Ferguson has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Scott Jones than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Scott Jones that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chase Ferguson than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chase Ferguson could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Scott Jones - Chase Ferguson Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Jones is ranked ATP: 986., and Ferguson is ranked ATP: 586..

In recent outings, Jones has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Ferguson is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Jones has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Scott Jones - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Chase Ferguson - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Scott Jones
ITF Tournaments
20.10.26	Stefan Vujic - Scott Jones	2:1 ✺
07.10.26	Derek Pham - Scott Jones	2:0 ✺
02.10.26	Scott Jones - Hayden Jones	0:2 ✺
01.10.26	Scott Jones - Shintaro Imai	2:0 ✺
30.09.26	Scott Jones - Benjamin O`Connell	O'Connell B. Retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLLW?
- Chase Ferguson
ITF Tournaments
20.10.26	Isaac Becroft - Chase Ferguson	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
27.09.26	Omar Jasika - Chase Ferguson	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
23.09.26	Alibek Kachmazov - Chase Ferguson	2:0 ✺
22.09.26	Chase Ferguson - Nino Ehrenschneider	2:1 ✺
18.09.26	Yunseong Chung - Chase Ferguson	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
20.07.26	Chase Ferguson - Scott Jones	2:0

Scott Jones - Chase Ferguson