Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Jingshan - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 27 September 2026, Sunday


	Omar Jasika		Chase Ferguson

	1	2
			Watch
	1.19	4.00
	1.21	3.90	Watch
	1.15	4.56	Watch
	1.19	4.50
	1.20	4.10	Watch
	1.19	4.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.19 ↓ (1.3)	4.21 ↑ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Omar Jasika
78%

Chase Ferguson
22%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.5%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.8%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Omar Jasika has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Omar Jasika's performance.

Chase Ferguson has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chase Ferguson might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Omar Jasika than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Omar Jasika that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chase Ferguson than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chase Ferguson could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Omar Jasika - Chase Ferguson Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Jasika is ranked ATP: 392., and Ferguson is ranked ATP: 604..

Each of the two players is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Ferguson may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this matchup, Jasika is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Jasika has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Omar Jasika - the odds 1.3 are the expected chance of winning is 70.45%, but this team recently wins 82% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Omar Jasika
ATP Hangzhou
22.09.26	Alex Bolt - Omar Jasika	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.09.26	Luca Castelnuovo - Omar Jasika	Jasika O. Retired ✺
11.09.26	Omar Jasika - Marat Sharipov	0:2 ✺
09.09.26	Rio Noguchi - Omar Jasika	0:2 ✺
08.09.26	Omar Jasika - Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 L?LWW
- Chase Ferguson
ITF Tournaments
23.09.26	Alibek Kachmazov - Chase Ferguson	2:0 ✺
22.09.26	Chase Ferguson - Nino Ehrenschneider	2:1 ✺
18.09.26	Yunseong Chung - Chase Ferguson	2:0 ✺
17.09.26	Sheng Tang - Chase Ferguson	0:2 ✺
17.09.26	Zhenxiong Dong - Chase Ferguson	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
19.02.25	Omar Jasika - Chase Ferguson	2:0

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