Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: BUENOS AIRES (ARGENTINA), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 13 February 2024, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Croatia	SportKlub
Portugal	Sport TV5
Romania	Prima Sport 3
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Sebastian Baez		Bernabe Zapata Miralles

	1	2
	1.2	4.5	Watch
	1.26	3.7	Watch
	1.25	3.8	Watch
	1.29	3.93
	1.29	3.6
	1.27	3.85	Watch
	1.23	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↓ (1.34)	3.94 ↑ (3.18)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sebastian Baez
75.8%

Bernabe Zapata Miralles
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.4%

29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.8%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sebastian Baez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sebastian Baez's performance.

Bernabe Zapata Miralles has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bernabe Zapata Miralles might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Baez than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bernabe Zapata Miralles than the current prediction. (+5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Sebastian Baez - Bernabe Zapata Miralles Predictions

Users Predictions: Sebastian Baez will win (13 of 13 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Baez is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Zapata Miralles is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Baez could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Baez is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sebastian Baez
ATP Cordoba
10.02.24	Luciano Darderi - Sebastian Baez	2:1 ✺
09.02.24	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Sebastian Baez	0:2 ✺
09.02.24	Hugo Dellien - Sebastian Baez	1:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
18.01.24	Jannik Sinner - Sebastian Baez	3:0 ✺
16.01.24	Daniel Elahi Galan - Sebastian Baez	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWWLW
- Bernabe Zapata Miralles
ATP Cordoba
07.02.24	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Bernabe Zapata Miralles	2:0 ✺
06.02.24	Bernabe Zapata Miralles - Christian Garin	Zapata Miralles B. retired ✺
ATP Montpellier
31.01.24	Bernabe Zapata Miralles - Constant Lestienne	1:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
15.01.24	Bernabe Zapata Miralles - Jiri Lehecka	0:3 ✺
ATP Adelaide
08.01.24	Matteo Arnaldi - Bernabe Zapata Miralles	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 L?LLL

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