Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Hamburg (Germany), clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 19 July 2024, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 1
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Croatia	SportKlub 2
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 3
Finland	MTV Katsomo
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 6
Poland	Polsat Sport 2, Polsat Sport Premium 1, Polsat Sport Premium 2
Portugal	Sport TV6
Romania	Prima Sport 3
Slovenia	SportKlub 2, SportKlub 4, SportKlub 6


	Luciano Darderi		Sebastian Baez

	1	2
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.15	1.67
	2.36	1.57	Watch
	2.54	1.58
	2.35	1.65	Watch
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.39	1.59	Watch
	2.4	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↓ (2.46)	1.6 ↑ (1.53)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luciano Darderi
40.3%

Sebastian Baez
59.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.4%

61.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

60.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luciano Darderi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Sebastian Baez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luciano Darderi than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sebastian Baez than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.4%	0%	36.6%

Luciano Darderi - Sebastian Baez Predictions

Users Predictions: 39 users predict this event. Darderi will win (votes: 25 - 64.1%). Baez will win (votes: 14 - 35.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Darderi: 49% – 79.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Baez will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Darderi won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luciano Darderi
ATP Hamburg
17.07.24	Luciano Darderi - Alexander Shevchenko	2:1 ✺
16.07.24	Luciano Darderi - Lorenzo Sonego	Canceled ✺
ATP Wimbledon
04.07.24	Luciano Darderi - Lorenzo Musetti	2:3 ✺
02.07.24	Luciano Darderi - Jan Choinski	3:2 ✺
ATP Mallorca
25.06.24	Sebastian Ofner - Luciano Darderi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 W?LWL
- Sebastian Baez
ATP Hamburg
17.07.24	Dusan Lajovic - Sebastian Baez	1:2 ✺
16.07.24	Dominik Koepfer - Sebastian Baez	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
01.07.24	Sebastian Baez - Brandon Nakashima	0:3 ✺
ATP Eastbourne
26.06.24	Miomir Kecmanovic - Sebastian Baez	2:0 ✺
ATP London
18.06.24	Sebastian Baez - Tommy Paul	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Buenos Aires
15.02.24	Sebastian Baez - Luciano Darderi	2:0
ATP Cordoba
10.02.24	Luciano Darderi - Sebastian Baez	2:1
08.02.23	Sebastian Baez - Luciano Darderi	2:0

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