Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Olympic Games (World), clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 28 July 2024, Sunday

Location: Stade Roland-Garros (Paris)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	Max


	Sebastian Baez		Thiago Monteiro

	1	2
	1.4	3
	1.4	2.9
	1.41	2.95
	1.44	2.95
	1.45	2.86	Watch
	1.4	2.9
	1.41	2.94	Watch
	1.41	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↑ (1.4)	2.93 ↑ (2.75)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sebastian Baez
67.4%

Thiago Monteiro
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.3%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.7%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sebastian Baez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Thiago Monteiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sebastian Baez than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thiago Monteiro than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Sebastian Baez - Thiago Monteiro Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Baez will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Monteiro will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Baez: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Monteiro could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Baez is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Baez won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sebastian Baez
ATP Kitzbuhel
25.07.24	Sebastian Baez - Hugo Gaston	1:2 ✺
24.07.24	Sebastian Baez - Thiago Augustin Tirante	2:0 ✺
ATP Hamburg
20.07.24	Sebastian Baez - Arthur Fils	0:2 ✺
19.07.24	Luciano Darderi - Sebastian Baez	1:2 ✺
17.07.24	Dusan Lajovic - Sebastian Baez	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWLWW
- Thiago Monteiro
ATP Umag
23.07.24	Fabian Marozsan - Thiago Monteiro	2:0 ✺
22.07.24	Thiago Monteiro - Tomas Machac	2:1 ✺
ATP Bastad
19.07.24	Duje Ajdukovic - Thiago Monteiro	2:1 ✺
17.07.24	Thiago Monteiro - Casper Ruud	2:0 ✺
16.07.24	Federico Coria - Thiago Monteiro	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Rio de Janeiro
23.02.24	Thiago Monteiro - Sebastian Baez	1:2
ATP Santiago
25.02.22	Sebastian Baez - Thiago Monteiro	2:1
ATP Rio de Janeiro
15.02.22	Sebastian Baez - Thiago Monteiro	1:2
ATP Challenger
21.11.21	Thiago Monteiro - Sebastian Baez	0:2
24.10.21	Thiago Monteiro - Sebastian Baez	0:2

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