Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 8 October 2026, Thursday


	Marcos Giron		Sebastian Baez

	1	2
	2.10	1.73	Watch
	2.05	1.75
	2.10	1.73	Watch
	2.06	1.73	Watch
	2.09	1.77
	2.12	1.74	Watch
	2.10	1.70
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↑ (2)	1.74 ↓ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marcos Giron
45.4%

Sebastian Baez
54.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.4%

52.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5%

52.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marcos Giron has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Sebastian Baez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marcos Giron than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Baez than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Marcos Giron - Sebastian Baez Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Giron will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Baez will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Giron is ranked ATP: 88., and Baez is ranked ATP: 53..

Giron is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Baez is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Baez may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Giron has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:6 (averaging 0.7:2 goals per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marcos Giron
ATP Tokyo
28.09.26	Jaume Munar - Marcos Giron	2:1 ✺
ATP US Open
02.09.26	Marcos Giron - Ignacio Buse	2:3 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
24.08.26	Dhakshineswar Suresh - Marcos Giron	2:0 ✺
24.08.26	Valentin Royer - Marcos Giron	Canceled ✺
ATP Cincinnati
13.08.26	Marcos Giron - Henrique Rocha	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0.8 LLL?L
- Sebastian Baez
ATP Beijing
01.10.26	Juncheng Shang - Sebastian Baez	2:1 ✺
ATP Chengdu
23.09.26	Sebastian Baez - Jenson Brooksby	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
31.08.26	Brandon Nakashima - Sebastian Baez	3:0 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
26.08.26	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Sebastian Baez	Baez S. Retired ✺
25.08.26	Hugo Grenier - Sebastian Baez	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LLL?W

Latest Head to Head

ATP Auckland
15.01.26	Sebastian Baez - Marcos Giron	2:0
ATP Cincinnati
13.08.24	Marcos Giron - Sebastian Baez	1:2
ATP Madrid
29.04.23	Sebastian Baez - Marcos Giron	2:1

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