Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Cincinnati (USA), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 14 August 2024, Wednesday

Referee: Allensworth G. (Usa)


	Sebastian Baez		Jordan Thompson

	1	2
	2.63	1.5	Watch
	2.45	1.53
	2.55	1.53
	2.62	1.55
	2.44	1.59	Watch
	2.5	1.53	Watch
	2.45	1.56	Watch
	2.55	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↑ (2.5)	1.54 ↑ (1.54)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sebastian Baez
37.9%

Jordan Thompson
62.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.1%

61.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2%

63.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sebastian Baez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Jordan Thompson has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Baez than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jordan Thompson than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Sebastian Baez - Jordan Thompson Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Baez will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). Jordan Thompson will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jordan Thompson: 50.9% – 95.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Baez is ranked ATP: 20. Jordan Thompson is ranked ATP: 32.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Baez could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Jordan Thompson will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Baez won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sebastian Baez
ATP Cincinnati
13.08.24	Marcos Giron - Sebastian Baez	1:2 ✺
ATP Olympic Games
31.07.24	Sebastian Baez - Stefanos Tsitsipas	0:2 ✺
29.07.24	Sebastian Baez - Benjamin Hassan	2:1 ✺
28.07.24	Sebastian Baez - Thiago Monteiro	2:0 ✺
ATP Kitzbuhel
25.07.24	Sebastian Baez - Hugo Gaston	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLWWL
- Jordan Thompson Tennis
ATP Cincinnati
13.08.24	Jordan Thompson - Ugo Humbert	2:1 ✺
ATP Montreal
08.08.24	Jordan Thompson - Alexander Zverev	0:2 ✺
07.08.24	Jordan Thompson - Jack Draper	2:0 ✺
ATP Washington
02.08.24	Sebastian Korda - Jordan Thompson	2:0 ✺
01.08.24	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Jordan Thompson	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Mallorca
21.06.22	Sebastian Baez - Jordan Thompson	2:0

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