Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lima 2 - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 27 October 2025, Monday


	Sebastian Gima		Carlos Maria Zarate

	1	2
			Watch
	1.48	2.47
	1.45	2.55	Watch
	1.49	2.52	Watch
	1.53	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.62)	2.47 ↑ (2.19)

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sebastian Gima
62.4%

Carlos Maria Zarate
37.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.5%

42.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.1%

40.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sebastian Gima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Carlos Maria Zarate has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Gima than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlos Maria Zarate than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Sebastian Gima - Carlos Maria Zarate Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Gima will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Zarate will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Gima is ranked ATP: 569. Zarate is ranked ATP: 808.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Gima may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Gima is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Sebastian Gima - the odds 1.62 are the expected chance of winning is 57.48%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sebastian Gima
ATP Challenger
26.10.25	Sebastian Gima - Dakotah Bobo	2:0 ✺
23.10.25	Sebastian Gima - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	0:2 ✺
20.10.25	Sebastian Gima - Juan Alejandro Hernandez	2:1 ✺
19.10.25	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Sebastian Gima	0:2 ✺
13.10.25	Sebastian Gima - Aristotelis Thanos	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WLWWL
- Carlos Maria Zarate
ATP Challenger
26.10.25	Boris Arias - Carlos Maria Zarate	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
24.10.25	Carlos Maria Zarate - Juan Manuel La Serna	0:2 ✺
23.10.25	Carlos Maria Zarate - Nicolas Bruna	2:1 ✺
22.10.25	Carlos Maria Zarate - Lucio Ratti	2:1 ✺
18.10.25	Carlos Maria Zarate - Juan Manuel La Serna	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLWWL

Sebastian Gima - Carlos Maria Zarate: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide