Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Washington (USA), hard - Final

Date: 4 August 2024, Sunday

Referee: Murphy F. (Irl)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 1
Brazil	ESPN 2
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 3
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu 1
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Greece	Nova Sports 6
Hungary	Match 4
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4, Ziggo Sport
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 2, Polsat Sport 2, Polsat Sport Premium 1
Portugal	Sport TV3
Romania	Digi Sport 2
Ukraine	Setanta Sports
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports Tennis


	Sebastian Korda		Flavio Cobolli

	1	2
	1.33	3.4	Watch
	1.28	3.7
	1.3	3.45
	1.32	3.69
	1.32	3.64	Watch
	1.33	3.3	Watch
	1.3	3.63	Watch
	1.3	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.57)	3.53 ↑ (2.35)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sebastian Korda
72.9%

Flavio Cobolli
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.9%

40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.8%

39.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sebastian Korda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sebastian Korda's performance.

Flavio Cobolli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Flavio Cobolli might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Korda than the current prediction. (-12.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sebastian Korda that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flavio Cobolli than the current prediction. (+12.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Flavio Cobolli could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70.6%	0%	29.4%

Sebastian Korda - Flavio Cobolli Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Korda will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). Cobolli will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Korda: 50.9% – 95.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Korda is ranked ATP: 22. Cobolli is ranked ATP: 48.

Right away both players are in a satisfying form.

Cobolli could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Korda is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Korda won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sebastian Korda
ATP Washington
03.08.24	Francis Tiafoe - Sebastian Korda	0:2 ✺
02.08.24	Sebastian Korda - Jordan Thompson	2:0 ✺
01.08.24	Sebastian Korda - Thanasi Kokkinakis	Korda S. retired ✺
30.07.24	Sebastian Korda - Christian Garin	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
02.07.24	Sebastian Korda - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WW?WL
- Flavio Cobolli
ATP Washington
03.08.24	Flavio Cobolli - Ben Shelton	2:1 ✺
02.08.24	Flavio Cobolli - Alex Michelsen	2:1 ✺
01.08.24	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Flavio Cobolli	1:2 ✺
31.07.24	David Goffin - Flavio Cobolli	0:2 ✺
ATP Umag
24.07.24	Flavio Cobolli - Dusan Lajovic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Roma
10.05.24	Flavio Cobolli - Sebastian Korda	1:2

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