Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Washington (USA), hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 2 August 2024, Friday

Referee: Cannavan S. (Aus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Peru	Movistar Deportes
Spain	Movistar Deportes


	Flavio Cobolli		Alex Michelsen

	1	2
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.45	1.53
	2.65	1.47	Watch
	2.67	1.54
	2.72	1.51	Watch
	2.6	1.5	Watch
	2.59	1.51	Watch
	2.65	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↑ (2.08)	1.5 ↓ (1.74)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Flavio Cobolli
36.2%

Alex Michelsen
63.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.4%

54.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.4%

53.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Flavio Cobolli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Flavio Cobolli's form might have worsened.

Alex Michelsen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alex Michelsen's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flavio Cobolli than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Flavio Cobolli, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex Michelsen than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alex Michelsen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Flavio Cobolli - Alex Michelsen Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Cobolli will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Michelsen will win (votes: 6 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cobolli: 21.7% – 78.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Cobolli is ranked ATP: 48. Michelsen is ranked ATP: 60.

Recent matches Cobolli is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Michelsen is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Michelsen will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Michelsen to win the game is with odds 1.53.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Flavio Cobolli
ATP Washington
01.08.24	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Flavio Cobolli	1:2 ✺
31.07.24	David Goffin - Flavio Cobolli	0:2 ✺
ATP Umag
24.07.24	Flavio Cobolli - Dusan Lajovic	0:2 ✺
22.07.24	Mariano Navone - Flavio Cobolli	0:2 ✺
ATP Hamburg
18.07.24	Flavio Cobolli - Zhizhen Zhang	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWLWL
- Alex Michelsen
ATP Washington
01.08.24	Alex Michelsen - Seong Chan Hong	2:0 ✺
31.07.24	Alex Michelsen - Mattia Bellucci	2:0 ✺
ATP Newport
21.07.24	Alex Michelsen - Marcos Giron	1:2 ✺
20.07.24	Reilly Opelka - Alex Michelsen	0:2 ✺
18.07.24	Alex Michelsen - Aleksandar Kovacevic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWLWW

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