Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Hamburg, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 21 May 2025, Wednesday


	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina		Flavio Cobolli

	1	2
	1.4	3	Watch
	1.5	2.54	Watch
	1.4	2.9	Watch
	1.43	3.07
	1.41	2.86	Watch
	1.53	2.5	Watch
	1.37	3.16	Watch
	1.4	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.61)	2.87 ↑ (2.31)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
66.7%

Flavio Cobolli
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59%

41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.9%

38.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alejandro Davidovich Fokina's performance.

Flavio Cobolli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Flavio Cobolli might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flavio Cobolli than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Flavio Cobolli Predictions

Users Predictions: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Alejandro Davidovich Fokina will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Davidovich Fokina is ranked ATP: 26. Cobolli is ranked ATP: 35.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Cobolli may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Davidovich Fokina could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Davidovich Fokina won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
ATP Hamburg
20.05.25	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Gael Monfils	2:0 ✺
ATP Roma
10.05.25	Jesper De Jong - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:0 ✺
ATP Madrid
27.04.25	Alexander Zverev - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:1 ✺
25.04.25	Nuno Borges - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:2 ✺
ATP Barcelona
18.04.25	Karen Khachanov - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLLWL
- Flavio Cobolli
ATP Hamburg
20.05.25	Vitaliy Sachko - Flavio Cobolli	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.05.25	Flavio Cobolli - Daniel Altmaier	0:2 ✺
15.05.25	Flavio Cobolli - Andrea Collarini	2:0 ✺
ATP Roma
08.05.25	Luca Nardi - Flavio Cobolli	2:0 ✺
ATP Madrid
27.04.25	Brandon Nakashima - Flavio Cobolli	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Vienna
21.10.24	Flavio Cobolli - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:0
ATP Washington
01.08.24	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Flavio Cobolli	1:2
ATP Roma
08.05.21	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Flavio Cobolli	Cobolli F. retired

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