Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: San Diego, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 30 January 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: San Diego 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Sebastian Korda		Liam Draxl

	1	2
	1.33	3.25	Watch
	1.34	3	Watch
	1.38	3.19
	1.55	2.32	Watch
	1.33	3.25
	1.34	2.99	Watch
	1.33	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↑ (1.16)	3.01 ↓ (4.85)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sebastian Korda
68.7%

Liam Draxl
31.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

80.7%

19.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sebastian Korda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sebastian Korda's form might have worsened.

Liam Draxl has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Liam Draxl's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Sebastian Korda - Liam Draxl Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Korda will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Draxl will win (votes: 3 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Draxl (1.77) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Korda (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Draxl (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Korda is ranked ATP: 53. Draxl is ranked ATP: 145.

Recent performances by Korda have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Draxl is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, Korda is the team to beat.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sebastian Korda
ATP Challenger
29.01.26	Sebastian Korda - Andre Ilagan	2:1 ✺
28.01.26	Sebastian Korda - Daniel Milavsky	2:0 ✺
ATP Australian Open
17.01.26	Michael Zheng - Sebastian Korda	3:2 ✺
ATP Adelaide
12.01.26	Thanasi Kokkinakis - Sebastian Korda	2:1 ✺
ATP Brisbane
09.01.26	Sebastian Korda - Alex Michelsen	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 WWLLL
- Liam Draxl
ATP Challenger
29.01.26	Trevor Svajda - Liam Draxl	0:2 ✺
27.01.26	Murphy Cassone - Liam Draxl	0:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
17.01.26	Liam Draxl - Damir Dzumhur	0:3 ✺
14.01.26	Mackenzie McDonald - Liam Draxl	1:2 ✺
14.01.26	Vitaliy Sachko - Liam Draxl	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWLWW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Liam Draxl
ATP Challenger
29.10.26	Liam Draxl - Daniil Ostapenkov	✺

Sebastian Korda - Liam Draxl