Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Australian Open - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 14 January 2026, Wednesday


	Mackenzie McDonald		Liam Draxl

	1	2
	1.36	3	Watch
	1.34	3	Watch
	1.36	3.05	Watch
	1.36	3
	1.38	3.11	Watch
	1.32	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.6)	3.06 ↑ (2.26)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mackenzie McDonald
69.3%

Liam Draxl
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

41.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mackenzie McDonald has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mackenzie McDonald's performance.

Liam Draxl has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Liam Draxl might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Mackenzie McDonald - Liam Draxl Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. McDonald will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Draxl will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Mackenzie McDonald will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

McDonald is ranked ATP: 113. Draxl is ranked ATP: 145.

Draxl is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

McDonald may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, McDonald is considered a favorite.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Mackenzie McDonald - the odds 1.6 are the expected chance of winning is 58.55%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mackenzie McDonald
ATP Australian Open
14.01.26	Mackenzie McDonald - Hugo Grenier	2:0 ✺
12.01.26	Mackenzie McDonald - Dmitry Popko	2:1 ✺
ATP Athens
04.11.25	Mackenzie McDonald - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	1:2 ✺
02.11.25	Shintaro Mochizuki - Mackenzie McDonald	1:2 ✺
01.11.25	Marco Trungelliti - Mackenzie McDonald	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWLWW
- Liam Draxl
ATP Australian Open
14.01.26	Vitaliy Sachko - Liam Draxl	1:2 ✺
13.01.26	Moerani Bouzige - Liam Draxl	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.01.26	Arthur Gea - Liam Draxl	2:0 ✺
07.01.26	Moerani Bouzige - Liam Draxl	0:2 ✺
04.01.26	Gustavo Heide - Liam Draxl	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWLWW

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