Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Australian Open, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	00:50	ESPN
Belgium	04:50	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia And Herzegovina	04:50	HBO Max
Brazil	00:50	ESPN
Bulgaria	05:50	HBO Max
Canada	22:50	RDS App
Colombia	22:50	ESPN
Croatia	04:50	HBO Max
Czech Republic	04:50	HBO Max
Denmark	04:50	HBO Max
Finland	05:50	HBO Max
France	04:50	HBO Max
Hungary	04:50	HBO Max
Mexico	21:50	ESPN
Moldova	05:50	HBO Max
Montenegro	04:50	HBO Max
Netherlands	04:50	HBO Max
North Macedonia	04:50	HBO Max
Norway	04:50	HBO Max
Peru	22:50	ESPN
Poland	04:50	HBO Max
Romania	05:50	HBO Max
Serbia	04:50	HBO Max
Slovenia	04:50	HBO Max
Spain	04:50	HBO Max
Sweden	04:50	HBO Max
United Kingdom	03:50	Discovery+
Usa	22:50	ESPN USA
Venezuela	23:50	ESPN


	Liam Draxl		Damir Dzumhur

	1	2
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	2.1	1.74	Watch
	2.08	1.75	Watch
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	2.07	1.77	Watch
	2.05	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↑ (1.72)	1.75 ↓ (2.25)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Liam Draxl
45.6%

Damir Dzumhur
54.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

56.7%

43.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Liam Draxl has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Liam Draxl's form might have worsened.

Damir Dzumhur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Damir Dzumhur's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.9%	0%	38.1%

Liam Draxl - Damir Dzumhur Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Draxl will win (votes: 13 - 61.9%). Dzumhur will win (votes: 8 - 38.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Draxl: 41.1% – 82.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Liam Draxl will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:3

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Preview

Draxl is ranked ATP: 145. Dzumhur is ranked ATP: 66.

Draxl is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Dzumhur may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Liam Draxl - the odds 1.72 are the expected chance of winning is 56.68%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Damir Dzumhur - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 43.32%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Liam Draxl
ATP Australian Open
14.01.26	Mackenzie McDonald - Liam Draxl	1:2 ✺
14.01.26	Vitaliy Sachko - Liam Draxl	1:2 ✺
13.01.26	Moerani Bouzige - Liam Draxl	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.01.26	Arthur Gea - Liam Draxl	2:0 ✺
07.01.26	Moerani Bouzige - Liam Draxl	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWWLW
- Damir Dzumhur
ATP Adelaide
12.01.26	Damir Dzumhur - Alexander Shevchenko	1:2 ✺
12.01.26	Damir Dzumhur - Brandon Nakashima	Canceled ✺
ATP Hong Kong
05.01.26	Damir Dzumhur - Nuno Borges	0:2 ✺
ATP Athens
04.11.25	Sebastian Korda - Damir Dzumhur	2:1 ✺
03.11.25	Damir Dzumhur - Jacob Fearnley	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 L?LLW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Liam Draxl
ATP Challenger
31.10.26	Liam Draxl - Sebastian Dominko	✺
- Damir Dzumhur
ATP Paris
31.10.26	Sebastian Baez - Damir Dzumhur	✺

Liam Draxl - Damir Dzumhur