Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Miami (USA), hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 27 March 2025, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 1
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Finland	MTV Katsomo+
France	Eurosport 1
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4
Poland	Polsat Sport Premium 1
Portugal	Sport TV3
Romania	Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 3
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Tennis
Ukraine	Setanta Sports Premium
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports Tennis


	Sebastian Korda		Novak Djokovic

	1	2
	4.33	1.22	Watch
	4.1	1.24	Watch
	4.4	1.22	Watch
	4.28	1.21	Watch
	4.5	1.2	Watch
	4.3	1.25	Watch
	4.4	1.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.33 ↑ (3.55)	1.22 ↓ (1.3)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sebastian Korda
22%

Novak Djokovic
78%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.8%

73.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.9%

75.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sebastian Korda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Novak Djokovic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sebastian Korda than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Novak Djokovic than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
52.6%	0%	47.4%

Sebastian Korda - Novak Djokovic Predictions

Users Predictions: 37 users predict this event. Korda will win (votes: 19 - 51.4%). Djokovic will win (votes: 18 - 48.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Korda: 35.3% – 67.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Korda is ranked ATP: 25. Djokovic is ranked ATP: 5.

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

In this match Djokovic is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Korda won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sebastian Korda
ATP Miami
25.03.25	Gael Monfils - Sebastian Korda	1:2 ✺
23.03.25	Sebastian Korda - Stefanos Tsitsipas	2:0 ✺
21.03.25	Sebastian Korda - Eliot Spizzirri	2:0 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
08.03.25	Gael Monfils - Sebastian Korda	2:0 ✺
ATP Marseille
10.02.25	Otto Virtanen - Sebastian Korda	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWWLL
- Novak Djokovic
ATP Miami
25.03.25	Lorenzo Musetti - Novak Djokovic	0:2 ✺
23.03.25	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Novak Djokovic	0:2 ✺
21.03.25	Rinky Hijikata - Novak Djokovic	0:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
08.03.25	Novak Djokovic - Botic Van De Zandschulp	1:2 ✺
ATP Doha
18.02.25	Novak Djokovic - Matteo Berrettini	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Adelaide
08.01.23	Novak Djokovic - Sebastian Korda	2:1

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