Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Miami (USA), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 23 March 2025, Sunday


	Camilo Ugo Carabelli		Novak Djokovic

	1	2
	11	1.05	Watch
	9.25	1.05	Watch
	10	1.05	Watch
	8.07	1.07	Watch
	10	1.05	Watch
	10.2	1.05	Watch
	10	1.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.79 ↑ (8.01)	1.05 ↓ (1.07)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Camilo Ugo Carabelli
9.7%

Novak Djokovic
90.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.8%

88.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Camilo Ugo Carabelli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Novak Djokovic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
64.3%	0%	35.7%

Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Novak Djokovic Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Ugo Carabelli will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). Djokovic will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ugo Carabelli: 39.2% – 89.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Ugo Carabelli is ranked ATP: 65. Djokovic is ranked ATP: 5.

Recent matches Ugo Carabelli is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Djokovic could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Djokovic is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ugo Carabelli won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Camilo Ugo Carabelli
ATP Miami
21.03.25	Alex Michelsen - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	1:2 ✺
19.03.25	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Brandon Holt	2:1 ✺
18.03.25	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Ethan Quinn	1:2 ✺
17.03.25	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Mitchell Krueger	2:1 ✺
ATP Santiago
01.03.25	Sebastian Baez - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 WWLWL
- Novak Djokovic
ATP Miami
21.03.25	Rinky Hijikata - Novak Djokovic	0:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
08.03.25	Novak Djokovic - Botic Van De Zandschulp	1:2 ✺
ATP Doha
18.02.25	Novak Djokovic - Matteo Berrettini	0:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
23.01.25	Novak Djokovic - Alexander Zverev	Djokovic N. retired ✺
21.01.25	Novak Djokovic - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLL?W

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