Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Australian Open, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 27 January 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Rod Laver Arena (Melbourne) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	01:40	ESPN
Belgium	05:40	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia And Herzegovina	05:40	HBO Max
Brazil	01:40	ESPN
Bulgaria	06:40	HBO Max
Canada	23:40	RDS App
Colombia	23:40	ESPN
Croatia	05:40	HBO Max
Czech Republic	05:40	HBO Max
Denmark	05:40	HBO Max
Finland	06:40	HBO Max
France	05:40	HBO Max
Hungary	05:40	HBO Max
Mexico	22:40	ESPN
Moldova	06:40	HBO Max
Montenegro	05:40	HBO Max
Netherlands	05:40	HBO Max
North Macedonia	05:40	HBO Max
Norway	05:40	HBO Max
Peru	23:40	ESPN
Poland	05:40	HBO Max
Romania	06:40	HBO Max
Serbia	05:40	HBO Max
Slovenia	05:40	HBO Max
Spain	05:40	HBO Max
Sweden	05:40	HBO Max
United Kingdom	04:40	Discovery+
Usa	23:40	ESPN USA
Venezuela	00:40	ESPN


	Lorenzo Musetti		Novak Djokovic

	1	2
	3.5	1.3	Watch
	3.1	1.35
	3.4	1.32	Watch
	3.48	1.35
	3.39	1.34	Watch
	3.3	1.33
	3.49	1.33	Watch
	3.5	1.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.4 ↑ (3.39)	1.33 ↑ (1.33)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Musetti
28.1%

Novak Djokovic
71.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Lorenzo Musetti have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Novak Djokovic have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Lorenzo Musetti - Novak Djokovic Predictions

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Musetti will win (votes: 10 - 33.3%). Djokovic will win (votes: 20 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Djokovic: 49.8% – 83.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Musetti (votes: 6 - 42.9%). Djokovic (votes: 8 - 57.1%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 37.5 Games - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 4 Sets - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Musetti is ranked ATP: 5. Djokovic is ranked ATP: 4.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Musetti won 0.

Musetti is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, Djokovic is seen as the favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Musetti won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 5:19. (average 0.5:1.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Musetti
ATP Australian Open
25.01.26	Lorenzo Musetti - Taylor Harry Fritz	3:0 ✺
23.01.26	Lorenzo Musetti - Tomas Machac	3:2 ✺
21.01.26	Lorenzo Musetti - Lorenzo Sonego	3:0 ✺
19.01.26	Lorenzo Musetti - Raphael Collignon	Collignon R. retired ✺
ATP Hong Kong
11.01.26	Lorenzo Musetti - Alexander Bublik	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWW?L
- Novak Djokovic
ATP Australian Open
26.01.26	Jakub Mensik - Novak Djokovic	Djokovic N. walkover ✺
24.01.26	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Novak Djokovic	0:3 ✺
21.01.26	Francesco Maestrelli - Novak Djokovic	0:3 ✺
19.01.26	Pedro Martinez Portero - Novak Djokovic	0:3 ✺
ATP World Tour Finals
11.11.25	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Novak Djokovic	N/A
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 ?WWW?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Athens
08.11.25	Novak Djokovic - Lorenzo Musetti	2:1
ATP Miami
25.03.25	Lorenzo Musetti - Novak Djokovic	0:2
ATP Olympic Games
02.08.24	Novak Djokovic - Lorenzo Musetti	2:0
ATP Wimbledon
12.07.24	Lorenzo Musetti - Novak Djokovic	0:3
ATP Roland Garros
01.06.24	Novak Djokovic - Lorenzo Musetti	3:2
ATP Monte Carlo
11.04.24	Novak Djokovic - Lorenzo Musetti	2:0
13.04.23	Novak Djokovic - Lorenzo Musetti	1:2

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Musetti
ATP Paris
02.11.26	Lorenzo Musetti - Hubert Hurkacz	✺
- Novak Djokovic
ATP Paris
02.11.26	Novak Djokovic - Valentin Vacherot	✺

Lorenzo Musetti - Novak Djokovic