Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 25 August 2025, Monday

Location: Louis Armstrong Stadium (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Sebastian Ofner		Casper Ruud

	1	2
	4.33	1.22	Watch
	4.1	1.22
	4.13	1.22	Watch
	4.34	1.25
	4.19	1.23	Watch
	4.2	1.22
	4.34	1.23	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.23 ↓ (6)	1.23 ↑ (1.13)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sebastian Ofner
22.5%

Casper Ruud
77.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.8%

84.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sebastian Ofner has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sebastian Ofner's performance.

Casper Ruud has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Casper Ruud might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Sebastian Ofner - Casper Ruud Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Ofner will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Ruud will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ruud: 40% – 93.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Ofner (votes: 3 - 60%). Ruud (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +5.5 Games - Ruud (1.94) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Ofner (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Ruud (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Ofner is ranked ATP: 141. Ruud is ranked ATP: 13.

Ofner is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Ruud has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Ruud may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Ruud is seen as the favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ofner won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sebastian Ofner
ATP Winston-Salem
17.08.25	Sebastian Ofner - Vit Kopriva	1:2 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
08.08.25	Sebastian Ofner - Valentin Royer	1:2 ✺
ATP Toronto
27.07.25	Sebastian Ofner - Reilly Opelka	0:2 ✺
ATP Kitzbuhel
22.07.25	Sebastian Ofner - Jan-Lennard Struff	0:2 ✺
ATP Bastad
15.07.25	Sebastian Ofner - Damir Dzumhur	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Casper Ruud
ATP Cincinnati
09.08.25	Casper Ruud - Arthur Rinderknech	1:2 ✺
ATP Toronto
02.08.25	Karen Khachanov - Casper Ruud	2:0 ✺
31.07.25	Nuno Borges - Casper Ruud	0:2 ✺
29.07.25	Roman Safiullin - Casper Ruud	0:2 ✺
ATP Gstaad
18.07.25	Casper Ruud - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Geneva
22.05.24	Sebastian Ofner - Casper Ruud	1:2
ATP Bastad
21.07.23	Casper Ruud - Sebastian Ofner	2:0

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