Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Basel, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 28 October 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Basel 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Nuno Borges		Casper Ruud

	1	2
	2.5	1.53	Watch
	2.60	1.48
	2.45	1.5	Watch
	2.68	1.5	Watch
	2.6	1.52
	2.51	1.54	Watch
	2.45	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↓ (2.65)	1.51 ↑ (1.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.00

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nuno Borges
37.3%

Casper Ruud
62.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.5%

64.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.6%

64.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nuno Borges has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Casper Ruud has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nuno Borges than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casper Ruud than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Nuno Borges - Casper Ruud Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Borges will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Ruud will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ruud (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 20.5 Games - over (1.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

1X2 - Casper Ruud (1.53) (votes: 92%) ⭐ Best Value.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Borges is ranked ATP: 53., and Ruud is ranked ATP: 25..

Borges has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Ruud is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Borges could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Ruud holding a narrow advantage.

Our forecast points to a victory for Ruud in today's match, at odds of 1.42.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Borges has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:5 (averaging 1:1.7 goals per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Casper Ruud - the odds 1.46 are the expected chance of winning is 64.46%, but this team recently wins 47% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nuno Borges
ATP Basel
26.10.26	Mika Brunold - Nuno Borges	0:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
10.10.26	Jiri Lehecka - Nuno Borges	2:1 ✺
08.10.26	Nuno Borges - Facundo Diaz Acosta	2:0 ✺
ATP Beijing
30.09.26	Nuno Borges - Novak Djokovic	0:2 ✺
ATP Chengdu
24.09.26	Nuno Borges - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 WLWL?
- Casper Ruud
ATP Basel
26.10.26	Dominic Stephan Stricker - Casper Ruud	1:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
16.10.26	Rafael Jodar - Casper Ruud	2:1 ✺
14.10.26	Casper Ruud - Felix Aliassime-Auger	Auger-Aliassime F. Retired ✺
12.10.26	Learner Tien - Casper Ruud	0:2 ✺
10.10.26	Bu Yunchaokete - Casper Ruud	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WL?WW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Toronto
31.07.25	Nuno Borges - Casper Ruud	0:2
ATP Roland Garros
28.05.25	Casper Ruud - Nuno Borges	1:3
ATP Los Cabos
22.02.24	Nuno Borges - Casper Ruud	0:2

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