Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Parma, clay - Final

Date: 20 June 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Super Tennis
Slovakia	Arena sport 2


	Sebastian Ofner		Luca Van Assche

	1	2
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	1.95	1.75
	1.92	1.79
	2.01	1.89
	1.96	1.81	Watch
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	1.9	1.78	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↑ (1.77)	1.8 ↓ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sebastian Ofner
48.2%

Luca Van Assche
51.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.7%

47.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.5%

50.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sebastian Ofner has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Luca Van Assche has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sebastian Ofner than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Van Assche than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Sebastian Ofner - Luca Van Assche Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Van Assche (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Luca Van Assche will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Ofner is ranked ATP: 123. Van Assche is ranked ATP: 100.

Right now, both players are showing solid form.

Ofner may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sebastian Ofner
ATP Challenger
19.06.26	Laslo Djere - Sebastian Ofner	1:2 ✺
18.06.26	Sebastian Ofner - Roberto Carballes Baena	2:1 ✺
17.06.26	Sebastian Ofner - Enrico Dalla Valle	2:0 ✺
15.06.26	Sebastian Ofner - Raul Brancaccio	2:0 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
26.05.26	Sebastian Ofner - Luciano Darderi	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWWWL
- Luca Van Assche
ATP Challenger
19.06.26	Daniel Rincon - Luca Van Assche	0:2 ✺
18.06.26	Marco Cecchinato - Luca Van Assche	1:2 ✺
17.06.26	Daniel Elahi Galan - Luca Van Assche	0:2 ✺
15.06.26	Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo - Luca Van Assche	1:2 ✺
10.06.26	Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo - Luca Van Assche	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWWWL

Sebastian Ofner - Luca Van Assche: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide