Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Grado, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 29 May 2026, Friday


	Sebastian Sorger		Matthew Donald

	1	2
			Watch
	1.6	2.15
			Watch
	1.74	2.12
	1.65	2.08	Watch
	1.67	2.05
	1.68	2.03	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.68)	2.09 ↑ (2.02)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sebastian Sorger
55.6%

Matthew Donald
44.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.6%

45.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60%

40%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sebastian Sorger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Matthew Donald has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sebastian Sorger than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matthew Donald than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Sebastian Sorger - Matthew Donald Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Sorger is ranked ATP: 451. Donald is ranked ATP: 485.

In recent matches, Sorger has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Donald is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Sorger may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Sorger might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sorger won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sebastian Sorger
ITF Tournaments
28.05.26	Sebastian Sorger - Leonardo Borrelli	2:0 ✺
27.05.26	Sebastian Sorger - Nicolas Parizzia	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
17.05.26	Daniel Bagnolini - Sebastian Sorger	2:1 ✺
10.05.26	George Loffhagen - Sebastian Sorger	2:0 ✺
27.04.26	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Sebastian Sorger	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 WWLLL
- Matthew Donald
ITF Tournaments
28.05.26	Manuel Plunger - Matthew Donald	0:2 ✺
26.05.26	Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini - Matthew Donald	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
01.05.26	Darwin Blanch - Matthew Donald	2:0 ✺
29.04.26	Diego Dedura-Palomero - Matthew Donald	1:2 ✺
28.04.26	Matthew Donald - Nicolas Mejia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
12.07.25	Matthew Donald - Sebastian Sorger	1:2

Sebastian Sorger - Matthew Donald: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide