Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Sydney (Australia) - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 26 October 2024, Saturday


	Seita Watanabe		Thomas John Fancutt

	1	2
			Watch
	3.2	1.28
	3.15	1.31
	3.35	1.31
	3.27	1.31	Watch
	3	1.36	Watch
	3.2	1.32	Watch
	3.15	1.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.19 ↑ (2.45)	1.31 ↓ (1.49)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Seita Watanabe
29.2%

Thomas John Fancutt
70.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

62.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

61%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Seita Watanabe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Seita Watanabe's form might have worsened.

Thomas John Fancutt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Thomas John Fancutt's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Seita Watanabe than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Seita Watanabe, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thomas John Fancutt than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Thomas John Fancutt, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Seita Watanabe - Thomas John Fancutt Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Watanabe is ranked ATP: 895. Fancutt is ranked ATP: 764.

Both players are now playing unstable.

Fancutt could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Fancutt will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Watanabe won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1:6 (average 0.3:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Seita Watanabe
ATP Challenger
20.10.24	Seita Watanabe - Pavle Marinkov	1:2 ✺
20.10.24	Matt Hulme - Seita Watanabe	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
18.09.24	Taisei Ichikawa - Seita Watanabe	2:0 ✺
16.09.24	Ryusuke Horiuchi - Seita Watanabe	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
07.09.24	Pengyu Lu - Seita Watanabe	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWLWL
- Thomas John Fancutt
ATP Challenger
22.10.24	Masamichi Imamura - Thomas John Fancutt	2:0 ✺
20.10.24	Colin Sinclair - Thomas John Fancutt	2:0 ✺
19.10.24	Thijmen Loof - Thomas John Fancutt	1:2 ✺
15.10.24	Mackenzie McDonald - Thomas John Fancutt	2:1 ✺
13.10.24	Wishaya Trongcharoenchaikul - Thomas John Fancutt	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
26.10.22	Thomas John Fancutt - Seita Watanabe	2:0
01.06.22	Seita Watanabe - Thomas John Fancutt	0:2
27.05.21	Thomas John Fancutt - Seita Watanabe	2:1

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