Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Phan Thiet 3, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 8 September 2026, Tuesday


	Sergio Callejon Hernando		Ilia Simakin

	1	2
	3.50	1.26
	3.6	1.25
	3.87	1.27
	3.84	1.22	Watch
	3.49	1.26	Watch
	3.6	1.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.65 ↑ (2.92)	1.25 ↓ (1.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sergio Callejon Hernando
25.5%

Ilia Simakin
74.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.5%

68.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.8%

66.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sergio Callejon Hernando has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sergio Callejon Hernando's form might have worsened.

Ilia Simakin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ilia Simakin's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sergio Callejon Hernando than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sergio Callejon Hernando, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilia Simakin than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ilia Simakin, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Sergio Callejon Hernando - Ilia Simakin Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 9.5 Games, 1st Set - over (2.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Callejon Hernando is ranked ATP: 485. Simakin is ranked ATP: 275.

Callejon Hernando has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Simakin is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Simakin may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Simakin is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Callejon Hernando won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sergio Callejon Hernando
ATP Challenger
01.09.26	Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg - Sergio Callejon Hernando	2:0 ✺
31.08.26	Sergio Callejon Hernando - Viktor Durasovic	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
11.08.26	Goncalo Marques - Sergio Callejon Hernando	2:0 ✺
06.08.26	Sergio Callejon Hernando - Izan Almazan Valiente	0:2 ✺
05.08.26	Sergio Callejon Hernando - Luka Talan Lopatic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWLLW
- Ilia Simakin
ATP Challenger
06.09.26	Kasidit Samrej - Ilia Simakin	0:2 ✺
04.09.26	Ilia Simakin - Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong	2:1 ✺
03.09.26	Ilia Simakin - Ilya Ivashka	2:0 ✺
02.09.26	Ilia Simakin - Matthew Dellavedova	2:0 ✺
31.08.26	Ilia Simakin - Denis Yevseyev	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
05.07.24	Ilia Simakin - Sergio Callejon Hernando	2:0

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