Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Sumter, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 16 August 2025, Saturday


	Shintaro Mochizuki		Alexander Shevchenko

	1	2
	2	1.73	Watch
	2.01	1.72	Watch
	2.1	1.79
	1.97	1.81	Watch
			Watch
			Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↑ (1.97)	1.76 ↓ (1.81)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shintaro Mochizuki
46.6%

Alexander Shevchenko
53.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.9%

52.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5%

47.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shintaro Mochizuki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Alexander Shevchenko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shintaro Mochizuki than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shintaro Mochizuki, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexander Shevchenko than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alexander Shevchenko, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Shintaro Mochizuki - Alexander Shevchenko Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Mochizuki will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Shevchenko will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Shevchenko (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Shevchenko (1.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Shevchenko (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Mochizuki is ranked ATP: 120. Shevchenko is ranked ATP: 102.

Mochizuki is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Shevchenko has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Mochizuki won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shintaro Mochizuki
ATP Challenger
15.08.25	Shintaro Mochizuki - Filip Misolic	2:1 ✺
14.08.25	Shintaro Mochizuki - Karl Poling	2:0 ✺
12.08.25	Shintaro Mochizuki - Alex Rybakov	2:0 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
06.08.25	Chak Lam Coleman Wong - Shintaro Mochizuki	2:0 ✺
05.08.25	Facundo Bagnis - Shintaro Mochizuki	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWWLW
- Alexander Shevchenko
ATP Challenger
15.08.25	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Alexander Shevchenko	Basilashvili N. retired ✺
14.08.25	Sho Shimabukuro - Alexander Shevchenko	0:2 ✺
12.08.25	Hady Habib - Alexander Shevchenko	Canceled ✺
ATP Cincinnati
06.08.25	Alexander Shevchenko - Daniel Elahi Galan	Shevchenko A. retired ✺
05.08.25	Alexander Shevchenko - Tyler Zink	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 ?W??W

Latest Head to Head

ATP Roland Garros
19.05.25	Alexander Shevchenko - Shintaro Mochizuki	2:1
ATP Challenger
24.06.22	Shintaro Mochizuki - Alexander Shevchenko	0:2

Shintaro Mochizuki - Alexander Shevchenko: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide