Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Cincinnati - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 6 August 2025, Wednesday


	Chak Lam Coleman Wong		Shintaro Mochizuki

	1	2
			Watch
	1.87	1.87
	1.92	1.79	Watch
	2	1.84
	1.82	1.9	Watch
	1.86	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.75)	1.85 ↓ (2.02)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chak Lam Coleman Wong
49.4%

Shintaro Mochizuki
50.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.1%

45.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chak Lam Coleman Wong has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Shintaro Mochizuki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chak Lam Coleman Wong than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shintaro Mochizuki than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Chak Lam Coleman Wong - Shintaro Mochizuki Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Wong will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Mochizuki will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mochizuki: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 Games - Wong (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Shintaro Mochizuki will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Wong (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Mochizuki (votes: 5 - 83.3%).

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Preview

Wong is ranked ATP: 168. Mochizuki is ranked ATP: 122.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Mochizuki may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Wong won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Chak Lam Coleman Wong - the odds 1.75 are the expected chance of winning is 53.58%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Shintaro Mochizuki - the odds 2.02 are the expected chance of winning is 46.42%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chak Lam Coleman Wong
ATP Cincinnati
05.08.25	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Chak Lam Coleman Wong	0:2 ✺
ATP Toronto
26.07.25	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Chak Lam Coleman Wong	2:0 ✺
ATP Gstaad
12.07.25	Facundo Bagnis - Chak Lam Coleman Wong	2:1 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
25.06.25	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Chak Lam Coleman Wong	2:0 ✺
23.06.25	Pol Martin Tiffon - Chak Lam Coleman Wong	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WLLLW
- Shintaro Mochizuki
ATP Cincinnati
05.08.25	Facundo Bagnis - Shintaro Mochizuki	1:2 ✺
ATP Toronto
27.07.25	Shintaro Mochizuki - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	0:2 ✺
26.07.25	Shintaro Mochizuki - Yasutaka Uchiyama	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
22.07.25	Rio Noguchi - Shintaro Mochizuki	Mochizuki S. retired ✺
ATP Wimbledon
02.07.25	Shintaro Mochizuki - Karen Khachanov	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLW?L

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
21.11.24	Chak Lam Coleman Wong - Shintaro Mochizuki	2:0

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