Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: ROME US (USA), HARD (INDOOR) - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 21 February 2023, Tuesday


	Shintaro Mochizuki		Edan Leshem

	1	2
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.5	2.4
	1.46	2.65
	1.55	2.48
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.48	2.51	Watch
	1.48	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.86)	2.49 ↑ (1.86)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shintaro Mochizuki
62.4%

Edan Leshem
37.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.7%

48.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shintaro Mochizuki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Shintaro Mochizuki's performance.

Edan Leshem has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Edan Leshem might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shintaro Mochizuki than the current prediction. (-10.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Shintaro Mochizuki that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Edan Leshem than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Edan Leshem could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Shintaro Mochizuki - Edan Leshem Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Mochizuki will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Leshem will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Leshem could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Mochizuki will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shintaro Mochizuki
ATP Challenger
07.02.23	Francesco Passaro - Shintaro Mochizuki	2:0 ✺
06.02.23	Shintaro Mochizuki - Gian Marco Moroni	2:0
06.02.23	Shintaro Mochizuki - Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine	2:0 ✺
02.02.23	Shintaro Mochizuki - Matteo Arnaldi	1:2 ✺
31.01.23	Matteo Gigante - Shintaro Mochizuki	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LWWLW
- Edan Leshem
Davis Cup World Group I
05.02.23	Ernests Gulbis - Edan Leshem	Canceled ✺
04.02.23	Karlis Ozolins - Edan Leshem	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
27.01.23	Edan Leshem - Anton Matusevich	0:2 ✺
26.01.23	Edan Leshem - Sahar Simon	2:0 ✺
24.01.23	Edan Leshem - Corentin Denolly	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 ?LLWW

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