Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Wimbledon, grass - 1/64-finals

Date: 29 June 2026, Monday

Location: All England Club (London)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	HBO Max
Denmark	HBO Max
Finland	HBO Max
France	HBO Max
Montenegro	HBO Max
Netherlands	HBO Max
Norway	HBO Max
Poland	HBO Max
Romania	HBO Max
Serbia	HBO Max
Slovenia	HBO Max
Spain	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max


	Shintaro Mochizuki		Max Basing

	1	2
	1.40	3.00	Watch
	1.42	2.80
	1.41	2.90
	1.45	2.94
	1.44	2.71	Watch
	1.43	2.90
	1.46	2.78	Watch
	1.42	3.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.47)	2.88 ↑ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 38.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shintaro Mochizuki
66.8%

Max Basing
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.7%

36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.4%

39.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shintaro Mochizuki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Max Basing has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shintaro Mochizuki than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Shintaro Mochizuki that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Max Basing than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Max Basing could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	0%	27.3%

Shintaro Mochizuki - Max Basing Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Mochizuki will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Basing will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mochizuki: 46.4% – 99%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Shintaro Mochizuki will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Mochizuki is ranked ATP: 150. Basing is ranked ATP: 331.

Mochizuki is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Basing has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Basing may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Mochizuki is a strong favorite.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shintaro Mochizuki
ATP Wimbledon
25.06.26	Clement Tabur - Shintaro Mochizuki	2:3 ✺
24.06.26	Gauthier Onclin - Shintaro Mochizuki	1:2 ✺
22.06.26	Vitaliy Sachko - Shintaro Mochizuki	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
18.06.26	Shintaro Mochizuki - Remy Bertola	0:2 ✺
16.06.26	Mackenzie McDonald - Shintaro Mochizuki	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WWWLW
- Max Basing
ATP Wimbledon
25.06.26	Max Basing - Remy Bertola	3:2 ✺
24.06.26	Max Basing - Tom Gentzsch	2:0 ✺
22.06.26	Francesco Maestrelli - Max Basing	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.06.26	August Holmgren - Max Basing	2:0 ✺
07.06.26	Max Basing - Paul Jubb	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WWWLL

Shintaro Mochizuki - Max Basing: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide