Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: MATSUYAMA (JAPAN), HARD - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 11 November 2022, Friday


	Shintaro Mochizuki		Seong Chan Hong

	1	2
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.1	1.65
	2.2	1.65
	2.27	1.62
	2.33	1.63
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.41	1.54	Watch
	2.27	1.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (1.72)	1.59 ↓ (1.98)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Shintaro Mochizuki
40.8%

Seong Chan Hong
59.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.5%

46.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5%

47.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shintaro Mochizuki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Shintaro Mochizuki's form might have worsened.

Seong Chan Hong has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Seong Chan Hong's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shintaro Mochizuki than the current prediction. (+11.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shintaro Mochizuki, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Seong Chan Hong than the current prediction. (-11.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Seong Chan Hong, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Shintaro Mochizuki - Seong Chan Hong Predictions

Users Predictions: Shintaro Mochizuki will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Recent matches Mochizuki is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Hong is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Mochizuki could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Our prediction for today's Hong to win the game is with odds 1.7.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shintaro Mochizuki
ATP Challenger
10.11.22	Shintaro Mochizuki - Nicholas David Ionel	2:1 ✺
09.11.22	Damir Dzumhur - Shintaro Mochizuki	1:2 ✺
07.11.22	Shintaro Mochizuki - Filip Cristian Jianu	2:0 ✺
01.11.22	Shintaro Mochizuki - Nino Serdarusic	1:2 ✺
18.10.22	Shintaro Mochizuki - Aleksandar Vukic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWWLL
- Seong Chan Hong
ATP Challenger
10.11.22	Jason Jung - Seong Chan Hong	0:2 ✺
09.11.22	Seong Chan Hong - Nino Serdarusic	2:0 ✺
07.11.22	Seong Chan Hong - Mukund Sasikumar	2:0 ✺
06.11.22	Seong Chan Hong - Shinji Hazawa	2:0 ✺
05.11.22	Seong Chan Hong - Kentaro Otsuka	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WWWWW

Shintaro Mochizuki - Seong Chan Hong: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide