Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: NONTHABURI 3 (THAILAND), HARD - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 18 January 2023, Wednesday


	Shintaro Mochizuki		Tennys Sandgren

	1	2
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.1	1.65
	2.1	1.7
	2.13	1.61
	2.26	1.65
	2.1	1.67
	2.21	1.61	Watch
	2.16	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↑ (1.94)	1.64 ↓ (1.75)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shintaro Mochizuki
43.2%

Tennys Sandgren
56.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.4%

52.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.8%

50.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shintaro Mochizuki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Tennys Sandgren has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shintaro Mochizuki than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shintaro Mochizuki, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tennys Sandgren than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tennys Sandgren, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	0%	87.5%

Shintaro Mochizuki - Tennys Sandgren Predictions

Users Predictions: Tennys Sandgren will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Sandgren could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shintaro Mochizuki
ATP Challenger
17.01.23	Paul Jubb - Shintaro Mochizuki	1:2 ✺
16.01.23	Shintaro Mochizuki - Keegan Smith	2:0 ✺
15.01.23	Shintaro Mochizuki - Sumit Nagal	2:1 ✺
10.01.23	Daniel Michalski - Shintaro Mochizuki	2:1 ✺
02.01.23	Shintaro Mochizuki - Antoine Escoffier	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWWLL
- Tennys Sandgren
ATP Challenger
17.01.23	Dan Added - Tennys Sandgren	1:2 ✺
11.01.23	Arthur Cazaux - Tennys Sandgren	2:0 ✺
11.01.23	Benjamin Hassan - Tennys Sandgren	1:2 ✺
09.01.23	Dan Added - Tennys Sandgren	1:2 ✺
02.01.23	Marek Gengel - Tennys Sandgren	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WLWWL

Shintaro Mochizuki - Tennys Sandgren: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide