Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Nottingham, grass - 1/8-finals

Date: 18 June 2025, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Nottingham 🌤️ ... 🟢 Grass


	Shintaro Mochizuki		Tristan Boyer

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.65	2.1	Watch
			Watch
	1.69	2.2
			Watch
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.7	2.08	Watch
	1.85	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.85)	2.06 ↑ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shintaro Mochizuki
54.5%

Tristan Boyer
45.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7%

47.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shintaro Mochizuki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Tristan Boyer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shintaro Mochizuki than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tristan Boyer than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Shintaro Mochizuki - Tristan Boyer Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Mochizuki will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Boyer will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Shintaro Mochizuki will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Mochizuki is ranked ATP: 164. Boyer is ranked ATP: 117.

Mochizuki is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Boyer has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Boyer may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mochizuki won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Tristan Boyer - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shintaro Mochizuki
ATP Challenger
16.06.25	Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Shintaro Mochizuki	0:2 ✺
14.06.25	Jack Pinnington Jones - Shintaro Mochizuki	2:0 ✺
13.06.25	Shintaro Mochizuki - Oliver Crawford	2:0 ✺
12.06.25	Johannus Monday - Shintaro Mochizuki	1:2 ✺
10.06.25	Shintaro Mochizuki - Colton Smith	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 WLWWW
- Tristan Boyer
ATP Challenger
16.06.25	Mitchell Krueger - Tristan Boyer	0:2 ✺
ATP Stuttgart
08.06.25	Tristan Boyer - Yannick Hanfmann	0:2 ✺
07.06.25	Tristan Boyer - Duje Ajdukovic	2:1 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
21.05.25	Tristan Boyer - Vilius Gaubas	0:2 ✺
19.05.25	Tristan Boyer - Daniel Rincon	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
29.10.20	Tristan Boyer - Shintaro Mochizuki	1:2

Shintaro Mochizuki - Tristan Boyer