Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: French Open - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 21 May 2025, Wednesday

Location: Stade Roland-Garros (Paris)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max
Croatia	Max
Czech-republic	Max
Denmark	Max
Finland	Max
France	France TV Rolan Garros, Max
Hungary	Max
Norway	MAX
Poland	Max
Romania	Max
Serbia	Max
Slovenia	Max
Sweden	Max
Usa	Max


	Tristan Boyer		Vilius Gaubas

	1	2
	2.63	1.44
	2.5	1.5
	2.5	1.47	Watch
	2.62	1.51
	2.66	1.47	Watch
	2.5	1.5
	2.55	1.5	Watch
	2.5	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↑ (1.84)	1.48 ↓ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tristan Boyer
36.7%

Vilius Gaubas
63.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.1%

52.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tristan Boyer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tristan Boyer's form might have worsened.

Vilius Gaubas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vilius Gaubas's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tristan Boyer than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tristan Boyer, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vilius Gaubas than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vilius Gaubas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Tristan Boyer - Vilius Gaubas Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2 Games - Gaubas (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Vilius Gaubas will win (21 of 21 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Vilius Gaubas will win (12 of 12 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Gaubas (votes: 13 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Boyer is ranked ATP: 119. Gaubas is ranked ATP: 136.

Recent performances by Boyer have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Gaubas is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Boyer may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Gaubas will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Gaubas will win today's game, with odds of 1.48.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Tristan Boyer - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tristan Boyer
ATP Roland Garros
19.05.25	Tristan Boyer - Daniel Rincon	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.05.25	Yibing Wu - Tristan Boyer	2:1 ✺
ATP Roma
05.05.25	Otto Virtanen - Tristan Boyer	2:1 ✺
ATP Madrid
22.04.25	Tristan Boyer - Harold Mayot	0:2 ✺
21.04.25	Jesper De Jong - Tristan Boyer	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WLLLW
- Vilius Gaubas
ATP Roland Garros
19.05.25	Vilius Gaubas - Duje Ajdukovic	2:1 ✺
ATP Roma
11.05.25	Vilius Gaubas - Alexander Zverev	0:2 ✺
09.05.25	Denis Shapovalov - Vilius Gaubas	0:2 ✺
07.05.25	Vilius Gaubas - Damir Dzumhur	2:1 ✺
06.05.25	Hugo Dellien - Vilius Gaubas	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WLWWW

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