Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: TUNIS (TUNISIA) - QUALIFICATION, CLAY - FINAL

Date: 16 May 2023, Tuesday


	Sho Shimabukuro		Max Houkes

	1	2
			Watch
	2.25	1.55
	2.33	1.56
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.75	1.41	Watch
	2.18	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↑ (1.68)	1.53 ↓ (2.03)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sho Shimabukuro
39.2%

Max Houkes
60.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.7%

45.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

46%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sho Shimabukuro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sho Shimabukuro's form might have worsened.

Max Houkes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Max Houkes's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sho Shimabukuro than the current prediction. (+14.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sho Shimabukuro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Max Houkes than the current prediction. (-14.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Max Houkes, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
26.3%	0%	73.7%

Sho Shimabukuro - Max Houkes Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Shimabukuro will win (votes: 5 - 26.3%). Houkes will win (votes: 14 - 73.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Houkes: 53.9% – 93.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Houkes could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sho Shimabukuro
ATP Challenger
14.05.23	Sho Shimabukuro - Alex Bolt	2:0 ✺
09.05.23	Aleksandar Vukic - Sho Shimabukuro	2:0 ✺
09.05.23	Sho Shimabukuro - Hiroki Moriya	2:1 ✺
01.05.23	Aleksandar Vukic - Sho Shimabukuro	2:0 ✺
24.04.23	Rinky Hijikata - Sho Shimabukuro	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLWLL
- Max Houkes
ATP Challenger
14.05.23	Rayen Hermassi - Max Houkes	0:2 ✺
01.05.23	Max Houkes - Vitaliy Sachko	1:2 ✺
30.04.23	Shintaro Mochizuki - Max Houkes	0:2 ✺
28.04.23	Sumit Nagal - Max Houkes	2:0 ✺
27.04.23	Max Houkes - Jelle Sels	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WLWLW

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